Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 77076.495165 81431.512751 85790.663886 90478.227152 95373.244030 100330.930059 105728.507218
2025-12-14 69519.764488 76118.022902 82911.555935 90419.350468 98474.303988 106847.150386 116198.739512
2025-12-21 64336.025828 72468.193920 81029.597139 90695.247203 101284.186452 112511.815922 125296.652770
2025-12-28 61143.579570 70513.929781 80562.203848 92106.715460 104970.488111 118830.253936 134858.173129
2026-01-04 58325.579380 68673.392462 79950.406307 93105.372482 107980.159670 124228.274446 143267.461502
2026-01-11 55729.321154 66864.398616 79177.963237 93740.101773 110423.205240 128870.264509 150739.268909
2026-01-18 53174.466068 64929.457034 78106.186432 93887.392741 112185.967473 132645.991249 157159.363484
2026-01-25 50956.321220 63250.466317 77206.883389 94118.802352 113947.053883 136345.053098 163440.718627
2026-02-01 48780.394971 61505.605429 76126.225319 94040.558763 115264.598714 139470.030159 169017.465108
2026-02-08 47251.220860 60449.219726 75782.661338 94763.064532 117466.251785 143585.763325 175731.956050
2026-02-15 45447.615435 58978.477653 74871.094532 94740.622805 118729.350974 146562.245219 181088.934344
2026-02-22 44473.083761 58469.405859 75072.403113 96017.877763 121518.221067 151330.276785 188574.320448
2026-03-01 43300.883640 57684.260026 74918.259814 96857.954696 123794.100556 155524.534092 195445.350262
2026-03-08 41789.365646 56419.814638 74128.329432 96878.940857 125046.963897 158480.957163 200841.097877
2026-03-15 40515.765549 55406.214925 73604.959863 97189.747004 126625.015706 161814.534022 206694.727009
2026-03-22 39888.171388 55186.913557 74049.584197 98687.578081 129659.270981 166924.315941 214733.452628
2026-03-29 39098.758121 54725.282590 74160.824495 99745.160902 132135.370797 171354.201617 221962.487569
2026-04-05 38181.894139 54062.834682 73986.817497 100416.884367 134112.992776 175167.684133 228447.474917
2026-04-12 37087.600948 53129.396690 73431.751246 100572.752384 135418.580587 178138.401961 233894.132214
2026-04-19 36088.379483 52288.772152 72966.692664 100817.563978 136817.567564 181216.915651 239480.824866
2026-04-26 35001.039835 51295.380810 72270.947215 100734.796149 137775.809312 183730.856472 244362.036577
2026-05-03 34314.397012 50821.199018 72237.328939 101499.077216 139813.725826 187606.791074 250972.842651
2026-05-10 33342.819740 49927.935061 71621.959882 101475.338954 140814.784245 190161.113344 255917.850893